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Roberto BalbinoInsights

关于金融、经济、地缘政治以及塑造世界的各种力量的独立分析。

对全球金融、市场、经济、地缘政治与国际商业的独立视角 — 作者 Roberto Balbino,Fintech SCB 创始人兼首席执行官。

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Latest analysis

  1. The Generation That Did Everything Right — And Still Cannot Afford Adulthood

    When Doing Everything Right Is No Longer Enough

  2. Britain Is Not Broke. But the Bond Market Is Starting to Ask Uncomfortable Questions

    The UK does not face an imminent debt crisis. It faces something more persistent: expensive debt, weak growth and a bond market unwilling to finance the status quo cheaply.

  3. The American Dream Is Alive. But You May Need Capital to Enter.

    America is creating more millionaires. The uncomfortable question is whether work alone still provides a credible path to wealth.

  4. Crypto Won. Except It Became the Banking System It Was Supposed to Destroy.

    Blockchain is going mainstream, stablecoins are becoming regulated money, and Wall Street is embracing tokenization. Crypto won — but perhaps not the revolution it promised.

  5. The Politics of Fear Is Really the Economics of Insecurity

    People may not be becoming irrational, intolerant or ideologically extreme. They may be becoming afraid of falling — and politics has learned how to monetize that fear.

  6. When Intelligence Becomes Capital

    OpenAI’s maths breakthrough is not really a story about mathematics. It may be the beginning of an industrial revolution in the production of knowledge.

  7. THE 5% WORLD

    Governments Can Still Borrow Almost Unlimited Amounts of Money. They Just Can’t Control the Price Anymore.

  8. Brazil Has Almost Everything. So Why Isn’t It Richer?

    Oil. Agriculture. Minerals. Renewable Energy. 200 Million Consumers. World-Class Fintech. Brazil’s Problem Is No Longer Potential. It Is the Failure to Convert Potential Into Productivity.

  9. The Country That Almost Exists: Could Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua and Costa Rica Become One State?

    Economically logical. Politically almost impossible.

  10. The New Luxury Is Not Money. It Is Time.

    The richest person in the room may not be the one with the highest income. It may be the one who can decide what to do with Tuesday afternoon.

  11. Fashion Magazines Are Not Dying. The Magazine Model Is.

    Print Is Shrinking. Fashion Media Is Not.

  12. Italy Is Creating Jobs. So Why Is the Economy Barely Growing?

    Europe’s GDP Surprise Exposes Italy’s Real Problem: More Employment, Too Little Productivity and Too Little Growth

  13. THE TRUST: WHAT IT REALLY IS, WHAT IT PROTECTS, WHAT IT CANNOT HIDE — AND WHY THE JURISDICTION MATTERS

    From succession planning and family wealth to asset protection, tax reporting, beneficial ownership and the limits of financial privacy in the age of CRS, FATCA and regulatory compliance enforcement

  14. The Bank Branch Is Dying. Banking Is Not.

    Deutsche Bank’s Italian strategy reveals something bigger: digital banking is commoditising transactions while making human expertise more valuable.

  15. USDT: The Crypto That Is Not Supposed to Make You Rich — So Why Does the World Need It?

    If It Never Goes Up, Why Does the World Want $200 Billion of It?

  16. WE GIVE AWAY THE ANALYSIS. THE WORK IS WHAT WE CHARGE FOR.

    Economic knowledge should be free. International financial problems usually require a little more work.

  17. We Are Richer Than Our Parents. So Why Do We Feel Poorer?

    More Prosperity. Less Security.

  18. La gran extinción del automóvil europeo

    SEAT, Jaguar, Lancia, Maserati, Saab, Rover y la brutal aritmética que decidirá qué marcas históricas merecen sobrevivir

  19. The Right Promised Prosperity. Where Is It?

    From AfD’s German breakthrough to Trump, Milei, Meloni and the global economic experiment: does the new right actually make countries richer?

  20. FINTECH SCB — ANALYSIS IS FREE. PROFESSIONAL EXPERTISE IS OUR BUSINESS.

    We believe economic and geopolitical knowledge should circulate freely. But when information has to become a decision, a structure or an international financial solution, professional expertise begins

  21. THE ECONOMICS OF LONELINESS

    Loneliness Is Expensive. We Pay for It in Housing, Health, Care and Public Money.

  22. THE SUBSCRIPTION ECONOMY HAS QUIETLY REPLACED OWNERSHIP

    You Keep Paying. Someone Else Keeps Owning. How Modern Capitalism Turned the Middle Class from Asset Owners into Permanent Monthly Customers.

  23. WOMEN ARE MORE EDUCATED. MEN STILL OWN THE TOP.

    Women Won the Education Race. They Are Still Losing the Economic One.

  24. The Great European Car Extinction

    SEAT, Jaguar, Lancia, Maserati, Saab, Rover — and the brutal economics deciding which historic car brands deserve to survive

FINTECH SCB Insights / Wealth Management

Patrimonio, libertà e controllo — Roberto Balbino / FINTECH SCB — Italiano

Italiano

Patrimonio, libertà e controllo

Come investire 10 mila, 100 mila, 1 milione e 10 milioni di dollari

Tre regole prima delle percentuali. Quattro aree geografiche. Sedici portafogli. Una visione integrata di investimenti, casa e successione.

Roberto Balbino / FINTECH SCB
Ricerca indipendente per la rete FINTECH SCB

25 ottobre 2026 · Edizione estesa 1.0 · 63 pagine · PDF

Lettura e download gratuiti

Wealth, Freedom and Control — Roberto Balbino / FINTECH SCB — English

English

Wealth, Freedom and Control

How to invest $10,000, $100,000, $1 million and $10 million

Three rules before percentages. Four geographic areas. Sixteen portfolios. An integrated view of investment, homes and succession.

Roberto Balbino / FINTECH SCB
Independent research for the FINTECH SCB network

25 October 2026 · Extended edition 1.0 · 63 pages · PDF

Free to read and download

Patrimonio, libertad y control — Roberto Balbino / FINTECH SCB — Español

Español

Patrimonio, libertad y control

Cómo invertir 10 mil, 100 mil, 1 millón y 10 millones de dólares

Tres reglas antes de los porcentajes. Cuatro áreas geográficas. Dieciséis carteras. Una visión integrada de inversión, vivienda y sucesión.

Roberto Balbino / FINTECH SCB
Investigación independiente para la red FINTECH SCB

25 de octubre de 2026 · Edición ampliada 1.0 · 63 páginas · PDF

Lectura y descarga gratuitas

Cover of After Mid Trump: What I Invest In Now by Roberto Balbino, FINTECH SCB Insight, November 2026

FINTECH SCB Insight · November 2026 · by Roberto Balbino

After Mid Trump

What I Invest In Now

On November 3, 2026, American voters gave Democrats the House and the Senate. Markets sold the result overnight and bought it back by breakfast; the bond market moved first.

After Mid Trump turns that night into decisions: the policies that can still become law under divided government, why the middle of the Treasury curve beats the long end, and a model portfolio built position by position, with the signals that would prove the author wrong.

88 pages · 17 charts · 228 source notes · research cutoff November 4, 2026

General information and education, not individual investment, tax or legal advice. The model portfolio is illustrative. Capital is at risk.

Cover of Off the Books by Roberto Balbino, FINTECH SCB Insight, October 2026

FINTECH SCB Insight · October 2026 · by Roberto Balbino

Off the Books

How the AI Boom Became a Credit Cycle—and Who Will Hold the Loss

The debate over artificial intelligence is still argued as a stock-market question. The money has already moved somewhere else.

In 2026 the largest spenders on AI stopped paying for the build-out out of their own cash. In the first half of the year, capital expenditure at Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Oracle absorbed 96 percent of the cash their businesses generated. At Alphabet, Amazon and Oracle it now exceeds it. Their reported debt has more than doubled in less than two years, to about $496 billion. Another $1.2 trillion of leases, signed mostly for data centers not yet delivered, sits outside their balance sheets.

Off the Books follows the contracts. It looks at joint-venture bonds backed by residual value guarantees, vehicles that own the chips, loans secured on hardware that ages faster than the debt, and guarantees written by the chipmakers themselves. It identifies who holds the claims: life insurers and the annuities behind them, semi-liquid private credit funds, and the banks that lend to the lenders. These are the institutions least able to leave when the numbers turn.

The Insight tests its own argument against the strongest objections and sets out three paths to 2028. It also states in advance the evidence that would prove it wrong. It closes with practical guidance and a dashboard of indicators for savers, entrepreneurs, credit investors and policymakers.

Shareholders can sell in a second. The people financing the AI build-out cannot.

78 pages · 23 figures and tables · fully sourced · data to October 29, 2026

Cover of Before the Return by Roberto Balbino, Fintech SCB educational master, October 2026

Fintech SCB Insights / Educational Master

Before the Return

How to Read Markets, Build Portfolios and Evaluate Hedge Fund Processes

A 64-page guide by Roberto Balbino, Founder & CEO of Fintech SCB, exploring market indicators, hedge fund strategies, portfolio construction, liquidity, leverage and performance evaluation. Includes analytical charts, practical worksheets, a glossary and institutional references. An independent framework for understanding investment decisions and questioning performance claims.

October 2026 edition · English · PDF · Free download

THE COMPLETE EDITORIAL ARCHIVE — ROBERTO BALBINO

该档案收录了2026年8月21日至11月4日期间发布的191篇内容,涵盖金融、经济、银行、市场、地缘政治、科技、社会、商业和体育。

您将读到什么

全球金融

市场、银行、投资与金融趋势。

经济

对经济政策、增长、通胀、债务与结构性变化的独立分析。

地缘政治

政治决策如何重塑市场、资本流动与全球经济。

国际商业

跨境金融、国际商业、新兴市场与全球机会。

关于 Roberto Balbino

Roberto Balbino 是国际金融与银行业高管,Fintech SCB 创始人兼首席执行官,在金融、银行、私人银行、财富管理、企业融资、并购与国际商业领域拥有超过 40 年经验。

他的分析将数十年的金融经验与对全球市场和经济驱动力的独立、常常不落俗套的观察结合起来。

为什么关注 Roberto Balbino?

因为金融市场并非仅由数字决定。

它们由政治、权力、货币政策、技术、资本流动与人的决策共同塑造。

Insights 连接这些力量,并挑战传统叙事。

独立

没有机构投资议程。

全球

跨越国界看金融与经济。

不落俗套

旨在质疑共识而非重复共识的分析。

免费关注,无限阅读。

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