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Roberto BalbinoInsights

关于金融、经济、地缘政治以及塑造世界的各种力量的独立分析。

对全球金融、市场、经济、地缘政治与国际商业的独立视角 — 作者 Roberto Balbino,Fintech SCB 创始人兼首席执行官。

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Latest analysis

  1. Argentina: Milei dice que es un problema privado. Los números dicen otra cosa.

    20 millones de argentinos endeudados. Más de 5 millones en mora. Y el Gobierno dice: “Es un problema entre privados”.

  2. China Doesn’t Have a Tax Problem. It Has a State-Capitalism Problem.

    The conventional argument about China’s tax system is almost too comfortable.

  3. The Next Five Years Will Not Look Like the Last Five

    Where Should Investors Look Now — and How Should They Diversify?

  4. THE HIDDEN GEOGRAPHY OF GLOBAL WEALTH

    Who Really Controls Offshore Finance — and Who Pays the Price?

  5. Europe’s Five Economies: Who Really Protects Household Purchasing Power?

    Spain, France, Italy, Germany and the United Kingdom compared on debt, inflation, purchasing power, tax evasion and the real cost of work

  6. AI and Italy: The Last Chance to Escape the Low-Productivity Trap?

    The Contrarian View

  7. What Do You Really Know About Iran?

    From Persia to the Islamic Republic: the history, wars and economy Americans often see only through the headlines

  8. OPAS Poste–TIM: aderire, non aderire o aspettare? La vera scelta dell’azionista

    Un’operazione che va molto oltre una semplice acquisizione

  9. Argentina: ¿fracasó el kirchnerismo? ¿Y puede Milei evitar repetir la historia?

    Cristina, Milei y los próximos cinco años de la economía argentina

  10. Il calcio pirata: perché l’Italia ha un problema che non si risolve solo con i blocchi

    Italia, Francia, Regno Unito, Germania, Spagna e Stati Uniti: cosa c’è davvero dietro la pirateria delle partite?

  11. Economics Without the Jargon: Stop Showing Me the Chart. Explain What It Means.

    There is something increasingly strange about economic communication on social media.

  12. THE GLOBAL FASHION POWER LIST 2026

    20 major fashion brands: revenues, ownership, origins, strengths, weaknesses, positioning, creative leadership and outlook

  13. PERCHÉ IN ITALIA CHI PUÒ, SPESSO, NON PAGA LE TASSE?

    Cultura dell’evasione, controlli insufficienti, tecnologia e soprattutto incentivi politici

  14. STRETTO DI HORMUZ: IL FALLIMENTO DI UN SISTEMA CREATO DALLA GUERRA — DA OLTRE 130 NAVI AL GIORNO A UNA MANCIATA DI TRANSITI

    Come la guerra tra Stati Uniti, Israele e Iran ha trasformato il principale corridoio energetico del mondo in una crisi commerciale globale

  15. K-Beauty y belleza marroquí: las sorprendentes propiedades de dos tradiciones cosméticas

    De la tecnología cosmética coreana a los ingredientes naturales de Marruecos: dos filosofías muy diferentes que están conquistando el mundo de la belleza

  16. K-Beauty e bellezza marocchina: la sorprendente scienza della cosmesi tra innovazione e tradizione

    Dalla tecnologia cosmetica coreana agli ingredienti naturali del Marocco: due filosofie molto diverse che stanno conquistando il mondo della bellezza

  17. Crypto: Los ricos ganaron, mientras el inversor minorista pagó la factura

    Una década de criptomonedas creó una extraordinaria ilusión: que todos ganaron

  18. Crypto: The Rich Got Richer, Retail Investors Paid the Price

    A decade of cryptocurrency has created an extraordinary illusion: everyone won

  19. Offshore Banking in 2026: The End of Anonymous Accounts — and Where Privacy Still Exists

    Personal opinion and independent analysis.

  20. анкции против российских граждан: юридическое оружие с сомнительным политическим результатом

    Санкции, направленные не против России в целом, а против отдельных людей

  21. The Russian Individuals Sanctions: A Legal Weapon With a Questionable Political Result

    The sanctions that target people, not Russia

  22. Canada-USA: Who Will Really Win the Trade War?

    The real battle is not about tariffs. It is about economic dependence.

  23. Por qué ganó la derecha en Chile y Colombia: una explicación económica más allá de la ideología

    Análisis personal — no representa una posición ideológica

  24. Why the Right Won in Chile and Colombia: An Economic Explanation Beyond Ideology

    Personal analysis — not an ideological position

FINTECH SCB Insights / Wealth Management

Patrimonio, libertà e controllo — Roberto Balbino / FINTECH SCB — Italiano

Italiano

Patrimonio, libertà e controllo

Come investire 10 mila, 100 mila, 1 milione e 10 milioni di dollari

Tre regole prima delle percentuali. Quattro aree geografiche. Sedici portafogli. Una visione integrata di investimenti, casa e successione.

Roberto Balbino / FINTECH SCB
Ricerca indipendente per la rete FINTECH SCB

25 ottobre 2026 · Edizione estesa 1.0 · 63 pagine · PDF

Lettura e download gratuiti

Wealth, Freedom and Control — Roberto Balbino / FINTECH SCB — English

English

Wealth, Freedom and Control

How to invest $10,000, $100,000, $1 million and $10 million

Three rules before percentages. Four geographic areas. Sixteen portfolios. An integrated view of investment, homes and succession.

Roberto Balbino / FINTECH SCB
Independent research for the FINTECH SCB network

25 October 2026 · Extended edition 1.0 · 63 pages · PDF

Free to read and download

Patrimonio, libertad y control — Roberto Balbino / FINTECH SCB — Español

Español

Patrimonio, libertad y control

Cómo invertir 10 mil, 100 mil, 1 millón y 10 millones de dólares

Tres reglas antes de los porcentajes. Cuatro áreas geográficas. Dieciséis carteras. Una visión integrada de inversión, vivienda y sucesión.

Roberto Balbino / FINTECH SCB
Investigación independiente para la red FINTECH SCB

25 de octubre de 2026 · Edición ampliada 1.0 · 63 páginas · PDF

Lectura y descarga gratuitas

Cover of After Mid Trump: What I Invest In Now by Roberto Balbino, FINTECH SCB Insight, November 2026

FINTECH SCB Insight · November 2026 · by Roberto Balbino

After Mid Trump

What I Invest In Now

On November 3, 2026, American voters gave Democrats the House and the Senate. Markets sold the result overnight and bought it back by breakfast; the bond market moved first.

After Mid Trump turns that night into decisions: the policies that can still become law under divided government, why the middle of the Treasury curve beats the long end, and a model portfolio built position by position, with the signals that would prove the author wrong.

88 pages · 17 charts · 228 source notes · research cutoff November 4, 2026

General information and education, not individual investment, tax or legal advice. The model portfolio is illustrative. Capital is at risk.

Cover of Off the Books by Roberto Balbino, FINTECH SCB Insight, October 2026

FINTECH SCB Insight · October 2026 · by Roberto Balbino

Off the Books

How the AI Boom Became a Credit Cycle—and Who Will Hold the Loss

The debate over artificial intelligence is still argued as a stock-market question. The money has already moved somewhere else.

In 2026 the largest spenders on AI stopped paying for the build-out out of their own cash. In the first half of the year, capital expenditure at Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Oracle absorbed 96 percent of the cash their businesses generated. At Alphabet, Amazon and Oracle it now exceeds it. Their reported debt has more than doubled in less than two years, to about $496 billion. Another $1.2 trillion of leases, signed mostly for data centers not yet delivered, sits outside their balance sheets.

Off the Books follows the contracts. It looks at joint-venture bonds backed by residual value guarantees, vehicles that own the chips, loans secured on hardware that ages faster than the debt, and guarantees written by the chipmakers themselves. It identifies who holds the claims: life insurers and the annuities behind them, semi-liquid private credit funds, and the banks that lend to the lenders. These are the institutions least able to leave when the numbers turn.

The Insight tests its own argument against the strongest objections and sets out three paths to 2028. It also states in advance the evidence that would prove it wrong. It closes with practical guidance and a dashboard of indicators for savers, entrepreneurs, credit investors and policymakers.

Shareholders can sell in a second. The people financing the AI build-out cannot.

78 pages · 23 figures and tables · fully sourced · data to October 29, 2026

Cover of Before the Return by Roberto Balbino, Fintech SCB educational master, October 2026

Fintech SCB Insights / Educational Master

Before the Return

How to Read Markets, Build Portfolios and Evaluate Hedge Fund Processes

A 64-page guide by Roberto Balbino, Founder & CEO of Fintech SCB, exploring market indicators, hedge fund strategies, portfolio construction, liquidity, leverage and performance evaluation. Includes analytical charts, practical worksheets, a glossary and institutional references. An independent framework for understanding investment decisions and questioning performance claims.

October 2026 edition · English · PDF · Free download

THE COMPLETE EDITORIAL ARCHIVE — ROBERTO BALBINO

该档案收录了2026年8月21日至11月4日期间发布的191篇内容,涵盖金融、经济、银行、市场、地缘政治、科技、社会、商业和体育。

您将读到什么

全球金融

市场、银行、投资与金融趋势。

经济

对经济政策、增长、通胀、债务与结构性变化的独立分析。

地缘政治

政治决策如何重塑市场、资本流动与全球经济。

国际商业

跨境金融、国际商业、新兴市场与全球机会。

关于 Roberto Balbino

Roberto Balbino 是国际金融与银行业高管,Fintech SCB 创始人兼首席执行官,在金融、银行、私人银行、财富管理、企业融资、并购与国际商业领域拥有超过 40 年经验。

他的分析将数十年的金融经验与对全球市场和经济驱动力的独立、常常不落俗套的观察结合起来。

为什么关注 Roberto Balbino?

因为金融市场并非仅由数字决定。

它们由政治、权力、货币政策、技术、资本流动与人的决策共同塑造。

Insights 连接这些力量,并挑战传统叙事。

独立

没有机构投资议程。

全球

跨越国界看金融与经济。

不落俗套

旨在质疑共识而非重复共识的分析。

免费关注,无限阅读。

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